MLB Best Bets – Pirates & Overs

Pirates @ Mets

Johan Oviedo enters play with a 1.31 WHIP. Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

We have a rubber match between Pittsburgh and New York today. The Pirates secured a 7-2 victory in the series opener, while the Mets bounced back to win last night’s matchup with a score of 7-4. Anticipation runs high for tonight’s game as Johan Oviedo takes the mound against Tylor Megill.

Oviedo’s performance has been marked by a striking inconsistency. Over his past ten starts, he has limited the opposition to two runs or fewer in six outings, yet in the remaining four games, he has surrendered five runs or more. Facing the struggling Mets today, there’s a reasonable expectation that we will see his dominant side.

Johan Oviedo: Under 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-125)

The optimism surrounding Tylor Megill’s potential has faded fast in New York. Three years ago, there was considerable anticipation when he was brought into the fold. However, his rookie season showed promise but yielded a 4.52 ERA, and unfortunately, his performance metrics have not improved since then. With consecutive seasons featuring ERAs exceeding 5, the Mets might be facing the juncture where they need to consider transitioning away from the 28-year-old.

Pirates (+100)
Over 8.5 Runs (-118) 

A’s @ Cardinals

Matthew Liberatore enters play with a 5.72 ERA. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

Two more teams that are biding their time until their miserable season ends are the A’s and Cardinals. It’s been a disgusting year for Oakland as the franchise considers relocation, and it’s been an extremely off year for St. Louis as they find themselves at the bottom of the National League Central.

As bad as the Cardinals have been, they haven’t squandered this easy opportunity to pick up some wins with the A’s in town. The birds will attempt to finish the sweep tonight with Matthew Liberatore on the mound. There were hopes that Liberatore would be the next ace for St. Louis, but he has failed to impress this season. While it’s certainly too early to make a career call on the 23-year-old, he is not off to a great start.

Matthew Liberator: Over 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-120)

Paul Blackburn will make the start for Oakland; despite his 2-3 record, the A’s have won four of the last nine games he has started — representing more than 10% of their wins –, run support coming in at later points has given him so many no decisions.

It’s hard to say which team will come out on top, and given the odds, it’s not worth trying to make a prediction, so bettors should look to run totals to make their money in this one.

Over 9.5 Runs (+102)


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