MLB Best Bets – Marlins & Braves

Astros @ Marlins

Johnny Cueto enters play with a  5.33 ERA. Mandatory Credit: Rhona Wise-USA TODAY Sports

There’s a great series going on in South Beach as the Marlins continue their dominance of the American League. After embarrassing the Yankees, the Astros came to town to take their beating. Miami took the first game of the series last night 5-1.

Today Johnny Cueto is on the bump facing Cristian Javier. Cueto is making his fifth start for the Marlins, and he has been a great addition since returning from injury. Miami is hanging onto the final National League Wild Card slot, but given the way they are playing, they are sure to be around when the playoffs begins. They have been a fun team to watch all season and could be the next surprise NL East team to win the pennant.

Houston will be happy to have Christian Javier on the mound, as he seems to have found his game after more than a few rough outings. Javier has allowed three runs or less in his last five starts. This should be a low-scoring affair, and the winner will likely be whoever scores first.

Miami (+105)
Under 9 (-110)

Yankees @ Braves

Bryce Elder enters play with a 3.64 ERA. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

While the Marlins are effortlessly handling AL teams, the Braves are doing the same with New York squads. After a torrential series with the Mets, Atlanta took the first game of their series with the Yankees 11-3. The Braves remain an unstoppable force, and they have to like their chances today with Bryce Elder receiving the call.

Elder has allowed five runs in back-to-back starts, and while no one is happy about that, based on the ups and downs we have seen from him this season, there is zero reason for concern. Three consecutive poor appearances from the righty is extremely unlikely. I usually bet on trends to continue, but based on the season’s data, bettors can feel comfortable relying on Elder today.

Bryce Elder Under 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+100)

The Yankees are quickly falling to Angels territory, too far back in the standings to matter. New York has played well at points this season, but a .500 record won’t book you a ticket to the postseason — especially in the AL East. Aaron Boone is certainly on the hot seat, and it will be fun to see what Cashman does this offseason.

Atlanta -2.5 (+134)

 

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