MLB Best Bets – Keller & Ohtani

Pirates @ Brewers

Mitch Keller enters play with a 3.97 ERA. Mandatory Credit: D. Ross Cameron-USA TODAY Sports

After putting together their first win streak since June, the Pirates followed up their third win with a loss yesterday against the Tigers. Now they head to Milwaukee to play a squad that is trying to reclaim the top spot in the NL Central. The Brewers are half a game behind the Reds, while Pittsburgh sits nine and a half out, with only the Cardinals holding a worse record in the division.

Heading into his 23rd start of the season, Mitch Keller is still in pursuit of his tenth win. Despite delivering standout performances like a seven-inning shutout, his team has faced defeat in the last five games he has pitched in.

MGM: Mitch Keller - Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (+105)

Adrian Houser will be on the mound against Keller. While Houser has been reliable for the majority of the season, his recent outing in Atlanta was less than stellar, giving up six runs in four innings. However, facing the Pirates today, he is expected to have a much more favorable matchup.

MGM: Adrian Houser - Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-120)

The Reds have a tough battle with the Cubs, so if the Brewers take care of this easy series, they should have no problem taking over first place.

Milwaukee -1.5 (+160)

Seattle @ Anaheim

Ohtani makes his 21st start today in Anaheim. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

The trade deadline has come and gone, and Shohei Ohtani is still an Angel. While the organization has been saying they wouldn’t trade the two-way player, seeing him remain in southern California is still shocking. Even more puzzling is the fact that the team made very few moves to bolster their roster. They currently find themselves four games from a Wild Card spot, but they have to surpass four other teams to secure it. Given the Angels’ performance this season, it seems unlikely they have the strength to achieve such a feat. However, people more competent than me seem to disagree.

Today, Ohtani makes his first start in seven days. He pitched a one-hit complete game his last time out, and now he’s at home taking on the Mariners in a crucial series. Seattle is the first team they need to jump in the standings.

When Ohtani takes the mound, there are few risky bets. Although he faces Bryan Woo, it doesn’t significantly influence how we approach this game. It’s anticipated that he will deliver an excellent performance today, but the odds have been adjusted after his last outstanding outing, so betting on some unders might be a viable option for this matchup.

Ohtani: Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Ohtani: Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (+100)






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