MLB Best Bets – Astros & Phillies

Mariners @ Astros

The Astros are midway through their four-game set with the Mariners and have been absolutely embarrassed.

Seattle has dominated the series’ first two games, outscoring Houston by a staggering 15-2 margin. The Astors are still four-games up on the Mariners in the AL West, and they will try to keep that lead from dimensioning any further.

Despite posting some of the worst stats in the league, the Mariners are a game above .500 and four games out of a Wild Card slot. They hope they have reached a turning point in their season as they have won six of their last seven.This is their final series before the All-Star break, so hopefully, they have tapped into something they can continue to use once they return.

While Seattle took the first two games with ease, they will be more challenged today, facing Framber Valdez. Valdez is the current favorite to win the American League Cy Young (+200), posting a 2.49 ERA and 110 strikeouts over 105 innings pitched. He’s taking on the Mariners for the first time this season; the Astros are counting on him to help them pick up their first win of this series.

Framer Valdez: Over 6.5 Ks (+106)
Full Game: Houston (-110)

Phillies @ Marlins

Ranger Suarez is averaging a K an inning . Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

The Phillies continue their hot streak after sweeping the American League-leading Rays. Philadelphia opened this critical series with a win last night and hope to claim the series today. The Phillies are in third place in the National League East, but they would move up to second if they could pull off a sweep here in Miami.

Starting for the Phillies today is lefty, Ranger Suárez. Since returning from the Injured List, Suárez has proven to be a dependable pitcher for Philadelphia. However, it’s worth noting that his ERA stands at 3.67 going into this game, and he tends to give up hard-hit balls. His average exit velocity ranking places him in the 50th percentile. He should experience a decline in performance in the second half of the season, if not in this particular game.

Facing off against Suárez will be Braxton Garrett. Garrett has been decent for the Marlins, maintaining a 3.61 ERA comparable to Suárez’s. Garrett does not issue many walks and ranks in the 11th percentile for average exit velocity. That is to say, he puts the ball where he wants it and doesn’t allow loud hits.

These two pitchers match up well, so with no apparent edge, bettors should ride with the hot team.

Full Game: Philadelphia (+110)
Braxton Garrett Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-125)


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