MLB Best Bets – 6/20/23

Mets @ Astros

Justin Verlander is making the start today against his former team. Verlander won two rings with the Astors in 2017 as well as last year, but in the off-season, he decided to jump ship and go to New York. After winning the Cy Young, he decided to chase a bag, and the Mets certainly delivered.

It was an odd move for Verlander to go to the National League after spending the last sixteen years in the American League. Verlander enters play with a 4.40 ERA, and four of his five quality starts came against American League teams. The way to play it this year may be to bet on Verlander against the AL and fade him against the NL. It’s an odd trend, but we don’t question what pays.

Verlander Over 5.5 Ks (+110)
New York (+125)

 

Rangers @ White Sox

The Rangers lead of baseball in hits and RBIs. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

The Rangers have been the talk of the league. After finishing 38 games behind the Astros last season, they lead the AL West by six-game. Texas leads the majors with a team batting average of .273, and they have the fifth-lowest ERA in baseball — 3.77. Their 45-27 record is the third-best in baseball.

While we have seen plenty of AL West teams destroy the regular season and fall flat in the playoffs, this team may be different. A substantial amount of the talent they went out and acquired has playoff experience. We’re a long way from October, but this is undoubtedly a squad to keep an eye on, as watching and betting on them has been extremely fun.

They have a tall order tonight, facing Dylan Cease, who finally seems to have found his groove in the 2023 season. His ugly May starts are well in the rearview, and he’s coming off a game where he only allowed two runs to the Dodgers.

However, even with his best stuff, Cease is no match for Nathan Eovaldi this season. Five of Eovaldi’s last ten starts have been shut out. These aren’t five-inning shutouts either; he’s going the distance, pitching an average of 7 2/3 innings in shutouts.

Eovaldi: Under 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-135)
Under 8.5 Runs (+100)

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