MLB Best Bets – 5/9/23

Tigers @ Guardians

Shane Bieber enters play with a 2.96 ERA. Mandatory Credit: David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

Shane Bieber is having another terrific season, but any guy who plays in the AL Central could be accused of stat padding. Tonight will be his first bout with the Tigers, and he will aim to put up some season-high numbers.

Bieber’s strikeouts and hit totals are both on the low side, but only one should stay down tonight. Bieber has recorded exactly four strikeouts in his last five starts, but his line today sits at (6.5). While he should hit that number, it would be inadvisable to reach that high. Bieber has allowed five hits or less in five of his seven starts; that’s a trend that is easy to jump on, especially facing the Tigers.

Shane Bieber Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-110)

Michael Lorenzen is taking the mound for the Tigers, and while he opened the season with a few terrible starts, he is coming off a beautiful seven-inning performance against the Mets. He is highly inconsistent, but the line on outs recorded is far too nice to pass up.

Michael Lorenzen Over 15.5 Outs Recorded (-118)

Red Sox @ Braves

Michael Harris II has four hits over his last four games. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Atlanta opens up a series tonight with the Red Sox; tonight will be the 87th meeting between the two teams. Boston has won their last three against the Braves, but things should turn around for Atlanta today.

The Braves will be facing Nick Pivetta, who has put up some consistent numbers this season, and despite that, his props haven’t moved. Pivetta has stuck out 5+ in six of his seven starts, but his line remains (4.5). So while the odds are that great, it’s an easy play to parlay with your favorite pick of the night.

Nick Pivetta Over 4.5 Ks (-155)

Given how ferocious the Braves’ bats can be, bettors shouldn’t touch any other Pivetta prop. Charlie Morton is on the bump for the Braves, and he has yet to dial in this season, so betting on him would be inadvisable as well. One of these pitchers is liable to be lit up, so as high as the number is, the over is the way to go in this one.

Over 9.5 Runs (-110)



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