MLB Best Bets – 5/20/23

Seattle @ Atlanta

Ronald Acuna Jr. is second in the majors with a batting average of .343. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The sea boys are in Georgia for a three-game set with the Braves. Atlanta took the first one yesterday, 6-2, but they’ll be in dire straits tonight as Jesse Chavez receives the call. Chavez is a 17-year veteran who has played for nine different teams but has only started 15 times in the past six years.

While the righty has done great work for Atlanta over the years, it’s always been out of the bullpen. Chavez has come and gone from Atlanta four different times, and of the 125 times he’s entered a game in a Braves uniform, only five times has it been as a starter. However, given the number of injuries the Braves rotation has suffered both at the professional and Triple-A level, they’re calling on the bullpen to at least open games.

While he has been solid this season, he hasn’t pitched more than an inning and a third, so being asked to go three or four innings may be too much for Chavez.

Logan Gilbert is starting for the Mariners, and he has not been great this season, allowing an average of three runs a start over his last five starts, and while that’s not a terrible number, it is when you consider who he’s faced. So taking on an offense like Atlanta, he should be responsible for four or five today.

Over 9 Total Runs (-120)
Logan Gilbert Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (-120)

Dodgers @ Cardinals

Noah Syndergaard enters play with a 5.94 ERA. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The Dodgers are midway through a four-game series in St. Louis, they’ve split the first two games, so they’ll be looking to win out to take the series. Helping tonight in the efforts will be Noah Syndergaard.

After a messy start to the season, Syndergaard seems to have settled down. He’s starting to bring down that ERA, and the good news for Dodgers fans is he has already shown solid work against the Cardinals this season. In April, he went five and a third allowing just three runs in his visit to St. Louis. If he can replicate those numbers today, the offense should be able to take care of the rest.

That’s easier said than done, though, as they will face Miles Mikolas today. He, too, had a terrible start to the year, allowing eighteen runs over his first four starts, but in the five games since, he’s only given up eight.

Mikolas should pick up the win over the first five, but Syndergaard is capable of handing a game over to the bullpen that is still winnable. So bettors should stick with the predictable first half.

First Five Innings: St. Louis (+115)
Miles Mikolas Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (-125) [Caesars]

 

 

 

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