MLB Best Bets – 10/19/22

Aaron Nola has allowed nine hits and no runs through two playoff starts. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Philadelphia Phillies (+100) @ San Diego Padres (-110)

The Philadelphia Phillies shut out the Padres in Game 1 of the National League Championship Series; the Padres will have another shot at it tonight with Blake Snell on the mound. Snell will face Aaron Nola, who hasn’t allowed a run in his last 19 innings.

The Padres beat the Dodgers in the NLDS with their pitching, but Game 1 proved their starters might not have what it takes to shut down these red-hot Philly bats. While San Diego only allowed two runs, they used their best pitcher, and it will only get harder from here.

This is a pivotal Game 2, as the series heads to Philadelphia after tonight, so if the Padres can’t take care of business tonight, their season is all but over.

First Five Innings: Padres Under 1.5 Runs (-115) & Aaron Nola Over 5.5 Ks (-108)
This will be just the third start of October for Justin Verlander. Mandatory Credit: Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports

New York Yankees (+165) @ Houston Astros (-180)

The Astros finally have an opponent for the American League Championship Series. It took eight days to play five games, but the Yankees finished off the Cleveland Guardians last night. As a reward, they had a redeye to Houston to play Game 1, barely giving them time to celebrate

Having no time to set their rotation, Jameson Taillon is starting for New York; he faces Justin Verlander. Verlander had a rough outing in his start against Seattle, allowing six runs in four innings, but that’s not a trend bettors should expect to continue.

Verlander faced the Yankees this summer for the first time since 2019. He allowed one run on four hits in seven innings pitched.

Taillon also made one start against the Astros this season, but he couldn’t make it out of the fifth inning. Allowing six runs on ten hits.

This is a total mismatch, and the Astros should have no problem picking up Game 1 of this series.

First Five Innings: Astros -0.5 (-130)


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