Minnesota vs Purdue | NCAAF Preview 11/20/20

Author: Zach Davis
Twitter: @ZachDavis30

Purdue Vs Minnesota Betting Preview:
TV: Big Ten Network @ 7:30 pm
Betting Spread: Purdue: -2; O/U 61

Purdue comes into Minnesota with a record of 2-1. Purdue has wins against Iowa and Illinois. Purdue lone lost is to rank 23 Northwestern last week. Purdue was supposed to play ranked 10 Wisconsin but ended up getting canceled due to COVID issues. Minnesota on the other hand comes into this game 1-3. Minnesota 3 loses comes from Michigan, Maryland in Overtime, and a beat down from Iowa last week. Their lone win comes from Illinois. Purdue SOS (Strength of Schedule) is ranked 36th in the nation. Minnesota SOS (Strength of Schedule) is ranked 56th in the nation. Purdue defense is ranked 50th in the nation. Minnesota defense is ranked 53rd in the nation. Purdue offense averages 5.0 yards per play. Purdue also throw the ball 65.9% of the time while only running the ball 34.09% of the time. On the other hand, Minnesota offense averages 5.5 yards per play. Minnesota runs the ball 60.34% of the time and throws the ball 39.66% of the time. Purdue defense gives up 5.3 yards per play to opponents while Minnesota gives up 7.6 yards per plays to opponents. Purdue averages 25 points per game while Minnesota averages 29 points per game. Minnesota averages a time of possession per game of 35:32, while Purdue averages 28:36 per game. Purdue averages 369 yards per game. Minnesota averages 407.5 yards per game.

Minnesota is led by quarterback Tanner Morgan. Tanner is coming into this game after having one of his worse games of his career. He has thrown the ball 106 times only completing 61 of those passes for a 57.55% passing completion percentage. He has thrown for 769 yards only 4 TDs and 4 Picks. He is averaging 192.25 yards per game. Tanner Morgan loves to throw the ball to Rashod Bateman. Rashod has 32 receptions for 413 yards and 2 TDs. He is averaging 12.91 yards per catch and is averaging 103.25 yards per game. He also likes to throw the ball the Chris Autman-Bell. Chris has 9 catches for 186 yards and a TD. Chris is averaging 20.67 yards per reception and averages 46.50 yards per game. Minnesota is a team that loves the run the ball and slow the game down. Minnesota has three main running backs, Mohamed Ibrahim, Treyson Potts (who is currently questionable for this game due to knee injury), and Cam Wiley. Mohamed is Minnesota main running back he has ran the ball 130 time for 715 yards and 10 TDs. Mohamed averages 5.5 yards per carry and 178.75 yards per game. Treyson Potts (Questionable) has ran the ball 11 time for 112 yards and 1 TD. Potts averages 10.2 yards per carry and 37.33 yards per game. Cam Wiley has 12 rushes for 67 yards and no TDs. Purdue is led by quarterback Aidan O’Connell (Who is currently questionable for the game). Aidan has thrown the ball 88 times for 916 yards 7 TDs and 2 picks. Aidan has completed 88 of his 136 passing attempts which is a 64.71% completion percentage. Aidan averages 305.33 yards per game. Aidan has 4 main WRs he loves to throw to David Bell, Milton Wright, Zander Horvath, and Payne Durham. David Bell has 31 receptions for 321 yards and 4
TDs. David averages 10.35 yards per catch and 107 yards per game. Milton Wright has 209 yards on 16 receptions and 2 TDs. Wright averages 13.06 yards per catch and 69.67 yards per game. Zander Horvath has 155 yards on 17 receptions and no TDs. Horvath averages 9.12 yards per catch and 51.67 yards per game. Payne Durham has 97 yards on 9 receptions and no TDs. Durham averages 10.78 yards per catch and 32.33 yards per game. Purdue only has one main back. Zander Horvath who I just talked about can not only catch out of the backfield, but he can run. Horvath has 252 yards rushing on 53 attempts and 1 TD. Horvath averages 4.8 yards per carry and 84 yards per game.

I expect Minnesota’s offense to chew up as much clock as they can. Minnesota needs a game to get their mojo back and get back into the win column. If Aidan doesn’t play in this game, it will be a long night for Purdue. For betting this game, I am leaning the under 61 in this game. Purdue has gone under the last 3 games and Minnesota has gone under in the last 2 games. Especially since both teams love to eat the clock.

Zach’s Best Bet: Under 61


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