LIONS AT BROWNS, NFL WEEK #11

November 18, 2021
By: Terry Niehaus

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Cleveland Browns -10 vs Detroit Lions 44.5

DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE

BROWNS VS PASS 26 // VS RUSH 12 // PASS 18 // RUSH 1 // OVERALL 17

LIONS VS PASS 28 // VS RUSH 29 // PASS 32 // RUSH 26 // OVERALL 29

SOURCE: footballoutsiders.com

MATCHUP SUMMARY

The Cleveland Browns (5-5) are coming off a disappointing 45-7 loss in New England last week. Playing without star running back Nick Chubb (COVID 19) the offense was only able to manage 217 total yards against the Patriots. Baker Mayfield completed only 11 of 21 passes for 73 yards before leaving the game. Backup Case Keenum wasn’t much better completing 8 of 12 passes for 81 yards. This week the Browns will look to get back on track against the Detroit Lions and their 30th ranked rush defense. Nick Chubb should be back and ready to go this week and is in a smash spot in this matchup. The Browns are currently #1 in the NFL in rushing. The defense has struggled at times this year but do draw a great matchup here at home against the woeful Lions offense. I think they are in play here at $3,100 on DraftKings.

The good news for the Detroit Lions (0-8-1) is that they won’t go 0-17 this year. The bad news is that they still haven’t won a game after leaving Pittsburgh last week with a 16-16 tie. The offense continues to struggle with Jared Goff under center. He completed just 14 of 25 passes last week for 114 yards and no touchdowns and was sacked four times. On the bright side, running back D’Andre Swift had a season-high 33 rushes for 130 yards. The Lions should be playing from behind in this one which would make Swift a nice play as he would get a lot of work as well in the passing game.

THE DFS GEMS

Nick Chubb, CLE – $7,800 on DraftKings. Should be back and ready to go this week coming off the COVID 19 list and gets a great matchup. I see 100+ yards and two touchdowns.

D’Andre Swift, DET – $7,000 on DraftKings. Price is creeping up there but still a nice option who could get work in the passing game in a trailing game script.

Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS