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Jets +9 @ Bills Total 43.5
DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE
Jets VS PASS 5th // VS RUSH 11th // PASS 23rd // RUSH 12th // OVERALL 9th
Bills VS PASS 7th // VS RUSH 3rd // PASS 4th // RUSH 17th // OVERALL 1st
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Huge divisional game as the Bills look to avert a loss to the Jets a few weeks back. If the Jets want to win the division this is a must win as a loss will likely put their chances at the playoffs as a wild card team. Buffalo continues to play very well but two of their three losses have come to division foes. A loss brings Miami and the Jets into play for the title. A win keeps the title in their hands as they await a rematch at home against the Dolphins. I see paths for this game to be a defensive struggle and an offensive shootout.
Mike White has the offense playing at its best all season. He has surpassed 300+ yards in his two starts. Buffalo has been susceptible to allowing yards via the air, 4 300+ games. On the other side they have also held opponents under 200 yards 7 times. From a fantasy perspective playing from behind is perhaps the best scenario for White. His favorite target has become Garrett Wilson who has exceeded 20+ points in both of White’s starts. Corey Davis showed life last week earning ten targets and makes as an interesting pivot off Wilson. The running back situation is muddy currently and one I will avoid. Zonovan Knight saw opportunities last week but with Michael Carter potentially returning and James Robinson lurking it’s a risky place to go.
As Josh Allen goes so do the Bills. Since the arm injury he hasn’t been the same but with his heart he can never be counted out. The concern with Allen is this Jets defense. One quarterback has surpassed 250+ yards verse them. Over their past 5 games no quarterback has exceeded 200 yards, including Allen in their loss. Could this lead to Allen being lower owned? Perhaps, but it will be tough for him to have a ceiling type game. Sauce Saunders will surely be on Stefon Diggs making him a tough play. If going this direction I am leaning toward Gabe Davis or Isiah McKenzie. James Cook is showing life and competing with Devin Singletary for touches. The Jets have been giving it up on the ground but can either produce enough to consider playing. Cook would be my lean as he can get it done catching the ball. This game feels like it could go either way but leaning toward the lower scoring. If playing this game I like it in single and three entry as it should be very low owned.
THE DFS GEMS
Mike White, Jets-$5,500 The price keeps him playable. Does he have the ceiling that he has shown the past two weeks, perhaps not. The higher his ownership the less I like him due to the uncertainty of game flow.
Corey Davis, Jets-$4,400 Can’t say anything bad about Garret Wilson. This is just an ownership pivot. He could easily put up similar numbers to Wilson if the game shoots out.
Josh Allen, Bills-$8,300 A naked Allen is probably the best route. He put up 26 against the Jets earlier in year. Perhaps we start seeing Allen running much more as it gets down to playoff time. That’s how he scored his points earlier verse the Jets.
Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS
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