Minnesota Timberwolves vs Boston Celtics
Betting Spread – Minnesota -1.5. Total 230.5.
With the regular season winding down we should be really careful at making any NBA bets. Lots of teams lost their incentive to win and either are preparing for the Playoffs, Play-In tournament or tanking to get a better chance at a lottery pick in the upcoming draft. This is a unique game where from the first look you would think Timberwolves should try and lose this game for draft purposes but it’s pretty much the other way around.
Celtics are locked in at 7th spot in the Eastern Conference. That means they don’t move with any scenario in these last 2 games and with Jaylen Brown already being out for the season, team announced that Kemba, Smart, Tristan Thompson and Robert Williams are also out for this game. Play-in tournament starts on Tuesday so you definitely want to take a safer route and even if Tatum plays with Fournier (both listed Probable) I’m not expecting huge minutes for them. They are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games, so even with a healthier roster and playing games that had a meaning for them we saw some really sloppy performances. -3.1 net rating in L10 which is bottom 10 of the league.
Timberwolves are trending in the other direction with 6w 4l and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games. +4.8 net rating 8th in the league L10. After Finch took over the team they are gradually playing better and better basketball. March -6 net. rating, April -3.1 and in May we can finally see +3.8 in 6 games. Edwards looks like a different player right now, they got Russell back and KAT plays big, productive minutes every game. Team is trying to build up something for the upcoming season, they don’t care about their lottery pick and it looks that it’s working for them at least for now.
KAT is in a great spot against thin Celtics front court without Thompson and Williams. We take out Smart, Jaylen Brown too and their defense becomes really vulnerable. We also might see less minutes for Tatum and Fournier. Just a good spot in general for Timberwolves to get another win in front of their fans.
Best bet Timberwolves -1.5 -110 FD, BetMGM
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