With the regular season going closer to an end we usually see more minutes for the main role players and with this year’s In-play tournament it looks like everybody is trying to avoid that or at least finish in 7-8th place. Warriors are sitting at 9th place now and they still have some job to do. Tonight GSW are squaring off with the Celtics in Boston and it’s a national TV game. We know that’s always a bonus when we are targeting superstars props.
Wiseman got the season ending injury couple of games ago and immediatelly they got better. Steph and Draymond have a +12.1 net rating in minutes without James Wiseman. They have a -7.7 with him. Warriors w/ Draymond Green at C, 122.8 ortg, 113.6 drtg (+9.2 net) in 1218 poss. Warriors with Curry on, Wiseman off: 121.9 ortg, +10.1 net in 2260. Curry w/ Wiseman off: 35.9 points/36 mins, 68.7% TS. Wiseman on: 25.9/36, 60% TS. In 473 minutes with Draymond Green at the five this season, Stephen Curry has a per-36 line of 37.4 points, 5.4 boards, 5.8 dimes, 2.7 turnovers and 6.1 treys on a 31.2 usage rate and a 74.7 TS%. So it worked out for GSW and they actually can make a run towards the end.
On to the prop play it’s gonna be a really easy choice. Draymond is averaging more minutes on the road this season and he averages 9 assists in just 31.1min. In his last 10 games we saw 7 games were he got over these minutes, so the line is just too low. He got 8 overs and 2 unders on this line in the last10 with two b2b sets and both unders were with 7 assists each. So we have a nice floor and I’m expecting a full run here and the line should be 8.5 not 7.5 as bookies are offering today.
HTP’s Best Bet
D. Green over 7.5 assists BetMGM -120 1u
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