Glock’s NFL Lineup Review | Week 1

What is up everybody! This is a new article we are introducing this year which will review my main GPP/Single Entry team that I played over the weekend. I’ll do my best to explain why I played who I played, what I would have changed, and the results that came with it. The aim is to have this released every Tuesday and the hope is that the article can help provide you some valuable insight which can help improve your process when playing NFL DFS.

I always like writing review type of articles too since it forces me to be self-critical about my play and helps improves my process in turn. I definitely recommend reviewing your lineups after every weekend as well, I can guarantee it will make you a better player.

If you are familiar with my NBA Year In Review article from last year, I am not a high stakes player whatsoever and tend to play SE contests which are at the $100 price point and under. Whether you are a high stakes or low stakes player, you should be able to take tidbits and apply it to all levels of play. For the purposes of this article, I’ll be reviewing the ownership from the $75 NFL $300K End Zone [$50K to 1st, Single Entry] contest. Lets dive in!

THE LINEUP

From a high level, Week 1’s soft pricing and injury situations really geared me to a studs and duds type of build. I made it my goal to play Justin Jefferson, Christian McCaffrey, and Austin Ekeler in the same lineup as I thought they were the best spend ups on the slate. I also felt that you didn’t have to sacrifice much in order to do so which is a huge thing to me when it comes to roster construction. Optimal lineups were also pushing towards more mid-tier priced RBs (2 of Raheem Mostert/Jamaal Williams/Kenneth Walker) and spend ups at WR (2 of Justin Jefferson/Tyreek Hill/Ja’Marr Chase) so in my head, there was definitely a chance at Christian McCaffrey getting squeezed when it comes to ownership. This ultimately reigned true.

Sam Howell and Jahan Dotson were a low-ish owned stack that I liked which were in a great spot against a bad Cardinals team. Those two had great rapport in the pre-season as well which made me even more bullish on them. Washington stalled and committed some costly turnovers on a few drives so Howell really could’ve put up a big performance if it were not for those blunders. I ate the chalk with Commanders DST and opted not to run it back with any Cardinals player due to the level of uncertainty that was on that side of the ball.

Before the Mark Andrews news, I initially had a 2v2 of Deon Jackson/David Njoku over Raheem Mostert/Isaiah Likely. Once Andrews was officially ruled out, I pivoted to the latter which also gave me MIA/LAC mini-correlation in what I felt was one of the best game environments of the weekend. And lastly, Marvin Mims was my favorite 3K play of the weekend despite being the highest owned of the cheap value WRs. It was moreso a bet on talent scenario as well as injury situation with Jerry Jeudy being ruled out during the day.

THE RESULTS

I missed out on the min-cash this week in most contests (placed 1228 out of the 1090 cash line in the $75) due to the Tyreke Hill nuke as his game winning TD knocked me out of the money. Hill was a top 3 owned player in the $75 SE coming in at 31.11% while Likely came in at 33.91% and the Commanders DST came in at 44.62%. Missing on Mims and Likely chalk were also costly as there were a lot of 3K alternatives at lower ownership which nuked the slate such as Puka Nacua, Kendrick Bourne, Tutu Atwell, and Hayden Hurst.

In hindsight, I probably should’ve pivoted away from the cheap chalk onto the above mentioned guys (I did have all 4 of the players above included on the Playbook) but overall, I felt very good about my lineup going in and I would likely play it again if I could. Mims and Likely were in great spots to capitalize in their situations, it just didn’t happen. Likely has proven productive in this scenario last year so I would have no issues going back. I may have just underestimated the additions of Zay Flowers (absolute crusher) and OBJ who command more target share.

Mim’s connection with Mr. Unlimited will be something I monitor going forward as he only played 17 snaps Week 1 while guys like Lil’Jordan Humphrey and Brandon Johnson outsnapped him by a wide number. Regardless, 0-1 start to the year technically but we got plenty of more action to come!

WRAPPING UP

I am hoping the things I discussed above was helpful in some way and can help you with your process or at the very least be an interesting read! If you are not already a member and are interested in giving RPS a shot, sign up using promo code NFL17 for 17% off your monthly package FOR LIFE! This code is available until the 17th so get in NOW!

This will give you access to all of our premium content including the Playbook that I’ll be curating every weekend, Cores + Player Pools from all of our Experts and more! No better time than to join now especially with NBA approaching quickly!

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