NBA Best Bets – 5/10/23 (Game 5)

Heat @ Knicks

The Knicks are 3-1 at home in these playoffs. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

Miami can close out the series tonight at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks are down 3-1 in the series, but they are 3-0 in games Jimmy Butler plays. So while a win would give the Heat a gentleman’s sweep, it should be considered a Jimmy Butler sweep.

New York’s pace of play and points per game have dropped dramatically in the postseason. During the regular season, the Knicks averaged 114 points per game. Though nine playoff games, only once have they eclipsed 106 points, topping out at 111 in their Game 2 win.

It’s hard to imagine the Knicks falling out of the playoffs like this, but there has yet to be any indication they can run with a healthy Miami team.

Miami (+140)

Julius Randle really let bettors down falling half a rebound short of his prop. He has been fantastic in the paint this series, and while he will be off to somewhere warmer tomorrow, he’ll hit his prop tonight.

Julius Randle Over 9.5 Rebounds (+105)

Lakers @ Golden State

Stephen Curry has eclipsed 30 points just once in this series (Game 4). Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

The Lakers are also in enemy territory tonight with a chance to close out their series. The Warriors desperately needed to pick up a win in Los Angeles, but they failed to do so, so now they will be tasked with doing something that has only happened 13 times in the 76-year history of the Association.

The Warriors are one of ten teams to have ever overcome a 3-1 deficit, and considering how well they play at home, they shouldn’t be counted out. It’s insulting to the Lakers that the odds for them to blow this series is only (+380), but those that think Curry can overcome the Lakers’ 3-1 lead should jump on it.

The Lakers’ best chance to close the series will be at home in Game 6. Curry should step up tonight to extend the series. This prediction allows for two great bets.

Parlay Warriors Moneyline & Curry to Score 30+ (+100)
Series Exact Score: 4-2 (+115)

 

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