Colts @ Bills, NFL Week 11

November 16, 2021
By: Coop

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Colts +7 @ Bills Total 50

DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE

Colts 23 VS PASS // VS RUSH 2 // PASS 20 // RUSH 5 // OVERALL 10

Bills VS PASS 1 // VS RUSH 3 // PASS 12 // RUSH 18 // OVERALL 1

SOURCE: footballoutsiders.com

MATCHUP SUMMARY

After a tough start the Colts have won four of their past five. Unfortunately that run hasn’t been against the best of teams. This is a must win in order to stay alive for the division title. The Bills keep on chugging along although they haven’t been at their best. They have struggled at the beginning of games and the O-line has been the biggest reason why. In the end, good teams find ways to win when playing poorly.

If this game is close its because the Colts have put pressure on Josh Allen and the O-line has struggled. If the latter shows up this could end up being a cake walk. Regardless Josh Allen is going against a weak secondary and sets up well to have a big game. He has been at or over 25 points in four games. Allen went back to what worked last year and found Stefon Diggs for his big game of the season. I expect him to go right back to show he is still the number one target.

Johnathan Taylor is establishing himself as the elite running back behind Derrick Henry. He has gone over 100+ during their winning run but this is by far his toughest challenge. If Indy has a chance it’s because they have controlled the matchup up front and used the clock to keep Allen off the field. The price is right for Carson Wentz but I am still not confident in his decision making. Under pressure I expect him to regress and have a tough day.

THE DFS GEMS

Josh Allen, Bills- $8,100. Huge upside for Allen and a multitude of weapons to help get the job done. I wouldn’t be surprised if he goes for 30+.

Stefon Diggs, Bills- $7,900. I expect the targets to remain high and forsee yet another big game.

Dawson Knox, Bills- $4,000. Has been forgotten recently after a great start. Like Diggs last week, I expect Allen to get Knox involved back in the offense. Great GPP pivot who will be low owned in a game we’re he could shine.

Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS