COLTS AT DOLPHINS, NFL WEEK #4

September 30, 2021
By: Terry Niehaus

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Miami Dolphins -2 vs Indianapolis Colts 42.5

DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE

COLTS VS PASS 29 // VS RUSH 11 // PASS 27 // RUSH 27 // OVERALL 26

DOLPHINS VS PASS 10 // VS RUSH 14 // PASS 29 // RUSH 26 // OVERALL 25

SOURCE: footballoutsiders.com

MATCHUP SUMMARY

The Indianapolis Colts (0-3) could not have envisioned this poor of a start to the season when they acquired Carson Wentz in the off season. While the early schedule has been tough, Wentz has struggled through the first 3 weeks completing just 60% of his passes which ranks 29th in the NFL. He has also been dealing with injuries to both ankles suffered in the week 2 loss to the Rams. Star running back Jonathan Taylor has yet to get going but should find more running room in this one as the Dolphins have struggled against the run so far this season. I think the path to a Colts victory this week is to give Taylor 18-20 carries and get him more involved. This will take pressure of Wentz and the struggling passing game.

Quarterback Jacoby Brissett will make his second straight start filling in for injured starter Tua Tagovailoa. He completed 32 of 49 passes last week in a 31-28 overtime loss in Las Vegas. He will face a very familiar team this week in the Colts, having played four seasons in Indianapolis. Tight end Mike Gesicki was targeted 12 times last week hauling in 10 of those targets for 86 yards. Alabama rookie Jaylen Waddle caught 12 passes for 58 yards.

THE DFS GEMS

Jonathan Taylor, IND – $6,300 on DraftKings. .It’s been a frustrating start to the season for Taylor but gets a solid matchup this week on the road against the Dolphins. I think he breaks out with 100+ yards and at least one score and leads the Colts to their first victory.

Jaylen Waddle, MIA – $4,900 on DraftKings. In a game that doesn’t have a lot of fantasy options, Waddle has the ability and talent to have a good game here and provides solid value at this price point. He has been targeted 21 times in the last two games and someone Brissett can look to.

Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS