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Bills -14.5 @ Jaguars Total 48.5Â
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DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE
Bills VS PASS 1 // VS RUSH 6 Â // PASS 10 // RUSH 16 // OVERALL 1
Jaguars VS PASS 32Â // VS RUSH 20 // PASS 28 // RUSH 2 // OVERALL 29
SOURCE: footballoutsiders.com
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MATCHUP SUMMARYÂ
The Bills struggled last week in the first half against the Dolphins but woke up in the 2nd half. This game has blowout written all over it. I don’t mind a naked Josh Allen as he should be the one leading the romp. Allen has a plethora of weapons and determining who will be the hot one is always tough. Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley appear to be the recent winners in targets which will make Stefon Diggs a low owned leverage play. I don’t think either running back, Moss and Singletary offer enough upside to warrant playing.Â
Buffalo has one of the best defenses in the league if not the best. The Jags had been doing decent on the ground but with a limited James Robinson, if he even plays, will be detrimental. Trevor Lawrence has been inconsistent and faces a tough challenge in a likely come from behind flow. The pressure will be heavy on him and he will need to have a great decision making game to give the Jags any chance. I won’t have any Jags in my pool as I don’t see them scoring many points.Â
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THE DFS GEMS Â
Josh Allen, Bills- $8,200. Allen has a solid floor but the question is does the flow allow for a ceiling game. Unless he does it all he will score in the low to mid 20’s in fantasy points verse the needed high 20’s to 30+.Â
Stefon Diggs, Bills- $7,700. Only two 20+ point games this season and the price will provide leverage. If you think he has that breakout season game and goes for 25+ he will put you up the leaderboards.
Buffalo Bills Defense- $4,000. Your paying the price for a team who has three 15+ point games. This is another game on paper that could see them earn 15+. If banking on that I would probably only play them and stay away from the offensive weapons.
 Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS
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