Best Ball Stock Report – July 25

Each Tuesday, I will analyze the Underdog Fantasy ADP Report which shows the biggest risers and fallers from the last week. I’m highlighting the 20 biggest risers and 20 biggest fallers in ADP this past week. Then I will list the players I am most bullish (continuing to buy) and bearish (not buying).

The Bullish and Bearish players listed could be from both the biggest risers and biggest fallers of the week on Underdog. For Risers, you could look at it two ways. Either the price is now too steep and I’m going to hold off buying more or I’m going to get more shares because I think the price will go up further throughout best ball season. For Fallers, the same applies that you may think they’ll continue to fall so you’ll wait, or you may think this is a good buy spot.

I’m not going to make a position on every player in risers and fallers list. But I’ll make a position on the players that I have the strongest stance on this week.

Hopefully, this helps your best ball draft process this summer as ADPs evolve.

 

BIGGEST RISERS:

(Biggest ADP change starting from the TOP)

Name:Pos:Team:Current ADP:ADP Change:
Zamir WhiteRBLV195.83-12.6
Leonard FournetteRB190.34-8.62
Skyy MooreWRKC99.34-6.82
Tank BigsbyRBJAX137.26-4.41
DeVante ParkerWRNE188.13-4.32
Nico CollinsWRHOU116.38-3.34
Kyler MurrayQBARI149.82-3.33
Mecole HardmanWRNYJ204.63-3.22
Jerick McKinnonRBKC124.05-3.05
Jeff WilsonRBMIA179.48-2.85
Tim PatrickWRDEN167.66-2.71
Isaiah HodginsWRNYG172.91-2.56
K.J. OsbornWRMIN143.72-2.52
Zay FlowersWRBAL88.34-2.49
Gerald EverettTELAC148.03-2.25
Clyde Edwards-HelaireRBKC202.33-2.2
Greg DulcichTEDEN128.71-2.19
Evan EngramTEJAX96.91-2.14
Alvin KamaraRBNO92.45-2.1
Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWRKC151.28-1.98

 

BIGGEST FALLERS:

(Biggest ADP change starting from the BOTTOM):

Name:Pos:Team:Current ADP:ADP Change:
Romeo DoubsWRGB121.471.97
Parris CampbellWRNYG179.11.99
Jerome FordRBCLE1672.04
Cole KmetTECHI151.732.08
Tyquan ThorntonWRNE177.022.21
J.K. DobbinsRBBAL59.372.24
Brock PurdyQBSF172.52.34
Juwan JohnsonTENO174.462.44
Cordarrelle PattersonRBATL204.252.56
Matthew StaffordQBLAR154.342.74
Bryce YoungQBCAR181.532.82
Chase BrownRBCIN196.672.94
Jordan LoveQBGB163.82.96
C.J. StroudQBHOU193.513.12
Dalvin CookRB93.553.69
Wan’Dale RobinsonWRNYG203.393.96
Mac JonesQBNE208.675.37
Pierre StrongRBNE213.455.7
Kendre MillerRBNO146.356.29
Chigoziem OkonkwoTETEN133.826.62
Treylon BurksWRTEN80.439.64

 

STILL BULLISH:

*These players have been on my bullish list, and remain on my bullish list despite their price change (rise or fall) for the reasons below.

-WR Tim Patrick – His price continues to skyrocket, but the 170s is not too high for me yet. I think if he continues to show his recovery is going well, his price will rise more each month. I have a lot of Patrick shares already because I’m bullish on a Sean Payton-led Broncos offense and this is cheap exposure to that.

-RB Clyde Edwards-Elaire – Never thought I’d be in on CEH, but as a last RB in a zero RB type build, I don’t mind some shots.

-TE Gerald Everett – Love the Chargers offense as a whole so I have a lot of their TE1 whether I grab Justin Herbert or not.

-RB Jerome Ford – Should be the true RB2 in Cleveland this year. Even if it’s not the Kareem Hunt role, I don’t think it’s a pure handcuff either so this is a good price.

-TE Greg Dulcich and RB Javonte Williams – I am very bullish on HC Sean Payton turning this offense around. That means a huge benefit for Tim Patrick, Greg Dulchich, and Javonte Williams (when 100%). I still think these guys could vastly outperform these ADPs.

BULLISH:

-RB Kendre Miller – Miller just passed his physical and was moved to the active roster. His price has been really falling so I’m more interested now at this price.

-QBs – Jordan Love, Matthew Stafford, and Bryce Purdy – I’ve been in on all of these QBs so I’ll be continue to be in on them as their price drops a bit. I think this is a product of the market felt their prices were getting to high. So I’m happy to grab more shares at any decreased price.

-RB J.K. Dobbins – This drop is due to Dobbins being added to the PUP list. I don’t think there is any injury concern and think he’ll be fine for this season. I think it’s wise to grab more shares to this uber-talented back as the price is falling.

-RB Chase Brown – He’s still competing for the #2 role for the Bengals. But I don’t mind taking very late-round shots in the hopes he lands the role.

-WR Isaiah Hodgins – I’ve mentioned my interest and being bullish on both Darius Slayton and Hodgins before. These are the two Giants receivers I am targeting. And Hodgins is an amazing red zone target, so especially nice on Underdog.

 

 

STILL BEARISH:

*These players have been on my bearish list, and remain on my bearish list despite their price change (rise or fall) for the reasons below.

-WR DeVante Parker – The price is still rising for Parker, and I even moreso have zero interest.

-QB Kyler Murray – I have been out on Murray all draft season and I especially feel the same with his price rising. He has a massive range of outcomes this season and I wonder how many games he actually plays. Even if he is on the field a lot, he’s a rushing QB recovering from a torn ACL in December, with a new HC/offense, and with one of the worst rosters in the NFL.

-WR Treylon Burks – I wasn’t interested in Burks before the DeAndre Hopkins signing, and I’m definitely not interested now.

-RB Cordarelle Patterson – Even late in the draft, I have no interest in this aging gimmicky back.

-RB Alvin Kamara – I still think Kamara will have some suspension, was not impressed with his play last year and now he’s in a 3-man backfield.

-Chiefs – WRs Sky Moore (rising) and Marques Valdes-Scantling (rising) – Even with the injury to Kadarius Toney, I don’t like the Chiefs receivers at these prices. Maybe I’ll get a few shares but I’d rather stack Mahomes with Kelce and/or McKinnon. Other than Kelce, he spreads it out and has a lot of middling receiving options.

BEARISH:

-RB Zamir White – I got a few shares of White last week. But I think Jacobs will follow Barkley soon. I don’t like him at this rising price, but if it falls again when we hopefully get positive Jacobs news, then I’d be more interested then as a last-round pick.

-WR Parris Campbell and Wan’Dale Robinson – These Giants’ receivers have been on this list before and they are back on my bearish list. The Giants have about 48 slot receivers, and I’m not going to try to guess which ones make an impact this year. I’d rather draft Hodgins (above – see Bullish) and Darius Slayton (going in the early 200s).

 

STILL DECIDING:

-WR Nico Collins – I like Collins a lot as a receiver and he could be the #1 option in Houston. I wish I had drafted more of him before his price got out of control. Because this price is getting a little steep for a Texans’ receiver.

-Other Patriots – now that Hopkins is not going there I don’t mind some late shots on Mac Jones and Tyquan Thorton, but I don’t want a lot of exposure to the Pats. I’m hoping Rhamondre Stevenson stays the true RB1 (no Dalvin Cook) and I also like a last-round TE Hunter Henry. That’s about it.

-RB Leonard Fournette – I think his price is up after a workout with the Patriots. I got some shares to Fournette early in draft season so at this point, I’d rather wait and see his landing spot before grabbing more shares as his price is rising.

 

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