Best Ball Stock Report: August 9

Each Tuesday or Wednesday, I will analyze the Underdog Fantasy ADP Report which shows the biggest risers and fallers from the last week. I’m highlighting the 20 biggest risers and 20 biggest fallers in ADP this past week. Then I will list the players I am most bullish (continuing to buy) and bearish (not buying).

The Bullish and Bearish players listed could be from both the biggest risers and biggest fallers of the week on Underdog. For Risers, you could look at it two ways. Either the price is now too steep and I’m going to hold off buying more or I’m going to get more shares because I think the price will go up further throughout best ball season. For Fallers, the same applies that you may think they’ll continue to fall so you’ll wait, or you may think this is a good buy spot.

I’m not going to make a position on every player in risers and fallers list. But I’ll make a position on the players that I have the strongest stance on this week.

Hopefully, this helps your best ball draft process this summer as ADPs evolve.

 

BIGGEST RISERS:

(Biggest ADP change starting from the BOTTOM)

Name:Pos:Team:Current ADP:ADP Change:
Darius SlaytonWRNYG202.73-3.39
Rashaad PennyRBPHI102.55-3.51
DeVante ParkerWRNE186.5-3.9
James CookRBBUF88.3-3.94
Terrace MarshallWRCAR207.66-3.99
Darren WallerTENYG73.73-4.04
DJ CharkWRCAR153.89-4.15
Raheem MostertRBMIA162.85-4.41
Deon JacksonRBIND211.28-4.46
Zay FlowersWRBAL83.23-4.64
Dalton KincaidTEBUF125.48-5.04
Jake FergusonTEDAL199.99-5.47
John MetchieWRHOU174.02-5.59
Chase ClaypoolWRCHI204.95-5.73
Sam LaPortaTEDET151.91-6.14
Hunter HenryTENE205.01-6.74
Gus EdwardsRBBAL179.01-7.71
Marvin MimsWRDEN152.23-13.1
Justyn RossWRKC182.97-15.87
Jalin HyattWRNYG178.96-23.33

 

BIGGEST FALLERS:

(Biggest ADP change starting from the TOP):

Name:Pos:Team:Current ADP:ADP Change:
Tyquan ThorntonWRNE201.3317.47
Kadarius ToneyWRKC95.148.9
Ty ChandlerRBMIN208.498.49
J.K. DobbinsRBBAL68.716.75
Mike GesickiTENE193.696.55
Juwan JohnsonTENO184.866.33
Chigoziem OkonkwoTETEN142.775.39
Treylon BurksWRTEN86.794.95
Trey McBrideTEARI203.834.82
Kyler MurrayQBARI153.74.57
Roschon JohnsonRBCHI155.524.12
Elijah MitchellRBSF127.023.74
Matthew StaffordQBLAR158.773.65
K.J. OsbornWRMIN149.523.49
Dalvin CookRB95.733.41
Rashid ShaheedWRNO165.83.38
Irv SmithTECIN162.863.32
Leonard FournetteRB196.813.29
Tyjae SpearsRBTEN175.463.08
Kenneth GainwellRBPHI169.073.07

 

STILL BULLISH:

*These players have been on my bullish list, and remain on my bullish list despite their price change (rise or fall) for the reasons below.

-QB Matthew Stafford– Stafford’s price continues to drop and I continue to take more shares!

-RB J.K. Dobbins – This drop is due to concerns of a holdout. I don’t think there is any injury concern and ultimately like the others, don’t think he’ll hold out. I think it’s wise to grab more shares for this uber-talented back as the price is falling.

-RB Kenneth Gainwell – I’ve been bullish on him all draft season as the value RB piece of the Eagles’ backfield. He is my highest-owned RB.

-WR Darius Slayton – I’ve mentioned my interest and being bullish on both Darius Slayton and Hodgins before. These are the two Giants receivers I am targeting.  Slayton is way too cheap for a deep threat and in 2-WR sets.

BULLISH:

-TE Hunter Henry – I mentioned below that I’m not interested in other Pats, but Henry is the one I have interest in at this price as a TE3.

-TEs Sam LaPorta and Dalton Kincaid – I gush about Sam LaPorta and his role any chance I can. And as everyone knows, I’ve been bullish on the rookie TEs all draft season because of their opportunity this season to be TE1 or in the case of Kincaid, the big slot receiver. We’re doing a 2-part on why we should believe in the rookie TEs this year on Fanspeak.com.

-TE Jake Ferguson – With Luke Schoonmaker sidelined, and Ferguson looking good in camp, he looks to have a lock on the TE1 job in Dallas, which has been very fantasy friendly!

-WR Marvin Mims – Ever since the Tim Patrick injury, I can’t get much Mims because he goes to high. But I recognize that I want to get some shares of the WR3 now for the Broncos and a deep threat.

-RB Gus Edwards – Even though I think Dobbins is a great value, I also love Gus the Bus at this price as a 5th RB in builds.

 

STILL BEARISH:

*These players have been on my bearish list, and remain on my bearish list despite their price change (rise or fall) for the reasons below.

-WR DeVante Parker – The price is still rising for Parker, and I even moreso have zero interest.

-QB Kyler Murray – I have been out on Murray all draft season and I especially feel the same with his price rising. He has a massive range of outcomes this season and I wonder how many games he actually plays. Even if he is on the field a lot, he’s a rushing QB recovering from a torn ACL in December, with a new HC/offense, and with one of the worst rosters in the NFL.

-WR Kadarius Toney – Even with the news that he should play in week 1, I don’t have a lot of interest in Toney in this range.

-Giants’ Other WR/Slot WR – Jalin Hyatt – These Giants’ receivers have been on this list before and they are back on my bearish list. The Giants have about 48 slot receivers, and I’m not going to try to guess which ones make an impact this year. I’d rather draft Hodgins and Darius Slayton (going in the early 200s). Just because there are great camp reports or awesome highlight videos, does not mean that he’ll be the one ready to emerge as the 3rd or even 4th receiver in this run-heavy offense.

-Other Patriots – now that Hopkins is not going there I don’t mind some late shots on Mac Jones, but I don’t want a lot of exposure to the Pats. So I’d say I’m more bearish than bullish on them, including Thorton and Gesicki. I’m hoping Rhamondre Stevenson stays the true RB1 (no Dalvin Cook) and I also like a last-round TE Hunter Henry. That’s about it.

 

BEARISH:

-WR Justyn Ross – We still need to see if this guy is going to make the team and he’s had a massive rise. I’m not trying to pin down the Chiefs’ 5th receiver. 0 shares and will stay that way, especially at a rising price.

-RB Deon Jackson – I think Kareem Hunt will sign with the Colts and still Jonathan Taylor could come back. I don’t like the late round Colts RBs because I think we’re projecting them for more work than they’ll likely see

-RB Elijah Mitchell – The injury bug is haunting him again already. I have some shares, and I don’t want more.

 

 

STILL DECIDING:

-RB Leonard Fournette – He’ll sign somewhere but at this point I’ll wait and grab more shares when I see the landing spot.

-WR Zay Flowers – I understand he’s very talented, getting a lot of camp steam, and attached to a great offense. I think a lot of this rise was reports last week that he could be in 2-WR sets to start the season. Rashod Bateman was just activated off the PUP and back to practice. So I think we should pump the breaks on which receivers are in 2-receiver sets. I still think it will be Beckham and Bateman. I don’t doubt they’ll use Flowers as a weapon, but I’m skeptical he can pay off this ADP.

 

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