Best Ball Stock Report: August 16

Each Tuesday or Wednesday, I will analyze the Underdog Fantasy ADP Report which shows the biggest risers and fallers from the last week. I’m highlighting the 20 biggest risers and 20 biggest fallers in ADP this past week. Then I will list the players I am most bullish (continuing to buy) and bearish (not buying).

The Bullish and Bearish players listed could be from both the biggest risers and biggest fallers of the week on Underdog. For Risers, you could look at it two ways. Either the price is now too steep and I’m going to hold off buying more or I’m going to get more shares because I think the price will go up further throughout best ball season. For Fallers, the same applies that you may think they’ll continue to fall so you’ll wait, or you may think this is a good buy spot.

I’m not going to make a position on every player in risers and fallers list. But I’ll make a position on the players that I have the strongest stance on this week.

Hopefully, this helps your best ball draft process this summer as ADPs evolve.

*NOTES: 

-Quick version this week since I’m sick, so fewer notes from me. But you can still see the movement and what spots you want to take advantage of.

-This was from ADP movement last week through Sunday. So this does not account for the Zeke to Patriots or Dalvin Cook to Jets moves. There are going to be big moves on RBs Breece Hall, Rhamondre Stevenson, Elliott and Cook this week. I’m personally buying the dip when I can on Hall and Stevenson if the price is right as I still think they are the team’s RB1s. 

 

BIGGEST RISERS:

(Biggest ADP change starting from the BOTTOM)

Player Name: Pos:Team:Current ADP:ADP

Change:

Sam HowellQBWAS195.46-3.86
Jordan LoveQBGB161.22-3.96
Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWRKC144.12-3.98
Cordarrelle PattersonRBATL199.49-4.05
Michael WilsonWRARI208.71-4.32
Romeo DoubsWRGB118.58-4.5
Khalil HerbertRBCHI112.3-4.75
Jayden ReedWRGB168.33-4.75
Raheem MostertRBMIA158.07-4.78
Dalton KincaidTEBUF120.7-4.78
Darius SlaytonWRNYG196.95-5.78
Tank BigsbyRBJAX127.12-6.1
Marvin MimsWRDEN145.02-7.21
Hunter HenryTENE197.43-7.58
Jalin HyattWRNYG170.86-8.1
Kenneth GainwellRBPHI158.84-10.23
Jake FergusonTEDAL188.25-11.74
Luke MusgraveTEGB194.6-13.45
Tank DellWRHOU193.28-20.13
Kareem HuntRB184.07-25.88

BULLISH:

-My guys – QB Sam Howell, TE Dalton Kincaid, WR Darius Slayton, RB Kenneth Gainwell, and TE Luke Musgrave – I’ve been on these guys all draft season, I’m not jumping off just because their price has risen a bit.

-Guys I’ve been drafting more the last month or two – QB Jordan Love, WR Jayden Reed, TE Jake Ferguson and TE Hunter Henry – even at rising cost, their prices are still not too high for their role/potential.

BEARISH:

-WR Jalin Hyatt – These Giants’ receivers have been on this list before and they are back on my bearish list. The Giants have about 48 slot receivers, and I’m not going to try to guess which ones make an impact this year. I’d rather draft Hodgins and Darius Slayton (going in the early 200s). Just because there are great camp reports or awesome highlight videos, does not mean that he’ll be the one ready to emerge as the 3rd or even 4th receiver in this run-heavy offense.

-RB Khalil Herbert – hot take alert! I know people love Herbert, and maybe he’ll emerge as the true RB1 in that Bears’ backfield. Even though I love Herbert’s talent, what I don’t love is he’s in a crowded backfield on a weaker offense (*ducks), Justin Fields does not check it down to his RBs, and Fields will vulture goal line/potential rushing TDs. I like other RBs in that range slightly earlier a lot more like AJ Dillon and Brian Robinson. Both have a much clearer back as base down RBs with goal-line opportunities.

BIGGEST FALLERS:

(Biggest ADP change starting from the TOP):

Player Name: Pos:Team:Current ADP:ADP

Change:

Mike GesickiTENE207.1213.43
Tyquan ThorntonWRNE210.699.36
Jerome FordRBCLE173.537.94
Leonard FournetteRB204.237.42
Richie JamesWRKC198.327.15
Kendre MillerRBNO151.627.07
Greg DulcichTEDEN131.796.16
Damien HarrisRBBUF126.055.74
C.J. StroudQBHOU199.135.53
Rashid ShaheedWRNO171.35.5
John MetchieWRHOU179.465.44
Trey McBrideTEARI209.035.2
Clyde Edwards-HelaireRBKC206.454.94
Chase BrownRBCIN206.654.7
Terrace MarshallWRCAR212.294.63
Elijah MitchellRBSF131.514.49
Bryce YoungQBCAR182.594.43
Chigoziem OkonkwoTETEN147.194.42
Kyler MurrayQBARI157.814.11
Ezekiel ElliottRB175.393.94

 

BULLISH:

*Not many major stances on this list. Because this list does have a lot of usage or injury concerns. Maybe CEH (super late), Leonard Fournette, or Ezekiel Elliott if they fall late enough.

-RB Damien Harris – This is one guy I’ve been drafting all season on Underdog especially because I think he’ll be the Bills’ goal line RB. He got back to practice this week. And I think his sitting out with a minor injury scared people off. I’m betting on him to be the RB2 and goal line back in Buffalo.

BEARISH:

-QB Kyler Murray – I have been out on Murray all draft season and I still feel the same even with his price falling. He has a massive range of outcomes this season and I wonder how many games he actually plays. Even if he is on the field a lot, he’s a rushing QB recovering from a torn ACL in December, with a new HC/offense, and with one of the worst rosters in the NFL.

-WR Richie James – James may be talented but the Chiefs have SO many wide receivers. I really don’t try to guess which ones could make an impact outside of Kelce. The price is late, but the receiver room is very crowded.

-WR Tyquan Thornton – I drafted him some early and stopped. I happy I stopped because there are some legitimate concerns that he will not be in 2-WR or maybe even 3-WR sets. He played with the backups in the first preseason game…not a good sign.

 

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