MLB Best Bets – Dodgers & Braves

Dodgers @ Guardians Exciting showdown in Ohio as Noah Syndergaard will take on his former team with the Dodgers visiting Cleveland. With a little over a month left in the season, the Guardians’ season is shot, and the Dodgers continue to chase the Braves for MLB’s best record. With how bad Cleveland has been playing, this is a great chance for the Dodgers to make a move. Bobby Miller is making the start for the Dodgers; he has been the hero they have been looking for as their rotation has lacked consistency for the majority of the season. Miller has allowed three runs or less in each of his last six starts. With the Guardians averaging 2.4 runs over their previous five, this should be an easy day of work for Miller. Bobby Miller: Over 16.5 Outs Recorded (-102) Syndergaard remains to be extremely hot and cold. In his first start with Cleveland, he allowed one run in five and a third against the Astros, but he followed that up with five runs over six innings against the White Sox. Oddly enough, he repeated those numbers over his next two starts. However, there is no way he will continue on that path and only allow one run to the Dodgers. LA has watched him allow massive numbers, and it’s finally their turn to light him up. Noah Syndergaard: Over 3.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+110) Over 9 Runs (+100) Mets @ Braves We were 1-1 on our Braves’ bets yesterday, and while going back to the well is typically a bad idea, there is no way the Braves lose two in a row to the Mets. This is the best bets article, and the Braves give bettors the best offerings today. Atlanta put up four runs yesterday, but that will never cut it when your starter gives up 7. Today, the Braves are set up far better with Bryce Elder on the mound facing Tylor Megill. After back-to-back bad outings, Elder bounced back with a seven-inning shutout performance against the Yankees. This, however, will be the first time he faces the Mets this season.  Megill faced Atlanta in their series last week, and he gave up six runs on nine hits. While Atlanta can hit anyone, Megill is someone they have a strong history against.  Tylor Megill: Over 3.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-120) FD: Atlanta -1.5 (-104)  

MLB Best Bets – Mariners & Braves

Mariners @ White Sox Today’s pitching matchup between these two teams perfectly embodies these two teams and why they are where they are in the standings. Luis Castillo is having another tremendous season and will try to help the Mariners hang on to that last Wild Card slot. The White Sox will once again be running out Touki Toussaint. Toussaint started the season with the Guardians, and after one start, they cut him. Chicago picked him up, he made a few solid starts, and it’s been downhill since then. Those few starts allowed him to have a job for the remainder of the season, and he’ll finish things out with the White Sox, as each game means they are that much closer to the offseason. Castillo enters play with a 9-7 record, but the Mariners have won more than half the games he has started. Despite allowing 4+ runs in two of his last four starts, Seattle has won the previous four games he’s started. Today though, taking on a team that ranks 24th in runs per game, Castillo and the M’s should have no problem picking up an easy win. Luis Castillo: Over 18.5 Outs Recorded (+104) FD: Mariners -1.5 (-114) Mets @ Braves The Mets head to the house of pain for three more games with the Atlanta Braves. It’s been just over a week since the Mets were embarrassed by the Braves over four games, being outscored 40-9. The Braves’ dominance is on a level never seen before. Within the division, the Braves are 25-7. All of their NL East rivals have at most two wins against them this year. There are not enough words to explain how well Atlanta is playing right now. There are no bad bets when it comes to this team, and that’s especially true when they are playing the Mets. Atlanta has yet to announce their starter, but that doesn’t matter. David Peterson makes the start for the Mets. He’s been thrust into the starting role once again, and the Braves had their fun with him back in April, scoring four runs in five innings in a game that was cut short due to rain. Bettors can expect similar numbers today. Atlanta -1.5 (-110) Over 10.5 (-110)  

PrizePicks – MLB Flex Play of the Day

After scouring PrizePicks I found the best three MLB pick for a clean can’t lose Flex Play. Zac Gallen Over 5.5 Strikeouts PrizePicks has given us a gift with this prop. Zac Gallen has been on fire and has owned the Padres this season. He’ll make the start today, averaging seven Ks a start over his last five. As for his numbers against the Padres, Gallen sat down eight the last time he faced them and eleven the outing prior to that.  Gallen rarely struggles against this division rival, and bettors can feel confident about this one. Jason Heyward Under 0.5 Total Bases It’s always surprising to see Jason Heyward’s name pop up on Prizepicks, but he gives bettors a great leg to add to their Flex Play. After hitting a double in his last game, we can count on him to go Ofer in this one. It has been almost a month since he has had hits in back-to-back games, and he only did it twice in July. It would be insulting to call it mediocrity, but counting on a poor performance from Heyward at the plate is a sure thing. Corbin Burnes Under 6 Strikeouts Corbin Burnes has struck out exactly five in each of his last three starts. Today he makes the start against the Dodgers, a team that has averaged six total strikeouts over their previous three games. LA has some hot bats, and it is sure to be a tough day for the Milwaukee starter. We all know Burnes is capable of a double-digit strikeout total, but based on how he and the Dodgers’ bats have been performing of late, there is no case to be made for the over. Worse case, bettors should have a push on this one. 

MLB Best Bets – Pirates & Overs

Pirates @ Mets We have a rubber match between Pittsburgh and New York today. The Pirates secured a 7-2 victory in the series opener, while the Mets bounced back to win last night’s matchup with a score of 7-4. Anticipation runs high for tonight’s game as Johan Oviedo takes the mound against Tylor Megill. Oviedo’s performance has been marked by a striking inconsistency. Over his past ten starts, he has limited the opposition to two runs or fewer in six outings, yet in the remaining four games, he has surrendered five runs or more. Facing the struggling Mets today, there’s a reasonable expectation that we will see his dominant side. Johan Oviedo: Under 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-125) The optimism surrounding Tylor Megill’s potential has faded fast in New York. Three years ago, there was considerable anticipation when he was brought into the fold. However, his rookie season showed promise but yielded a 4.52 ERA, and unfortunately, his performance metrics have not improved since then. With consecutive seasons featuring ERAs exceeding 5, the Mets might be facing the juncture where they need to consider transitioning away from the 28-year-old. Pirates (+100) Over 8.5 Runs (-118)  A’s @ Cardinals Two more teams that are biding their time until their miserable season ends are the A’s and Cardinals. It’s been a disgusting year for Oakland as the franchise considers relocation, and it’s been an extremely off year for St. Louis as they find themselves at the bottom of the National League Central. As bad as the Cardinals have been, they haven’t squandered this easy opportunity to pick up some wins with the A’s in town. The birds will attempt to finish the sweep tonight with Matthew Liberatore on the mound. There were hopes that Liberatore would be the next ace for St. Louis, but he has failed to impress this season. While it’s certainly too early to make a career call on the 23-year-old, he is not off to a great start. Matthew Liberator: Over 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-120) Paul Blackburn will make the start for Oakland; despite his 2-3 record, the A’s have won four of the last nine games he has started — representing more than 10% of their wins –, run support coming in at later points has given him so many no decisions. It’s hard to say which team will come out on top, and given the odds, it’s not worth trying to make a prediction, so bettors should look to run totals to make their money in this one. Over 9.5 Runs (+102)

MLB Best Bets – Marlins & Braves

Astros @ Marlins There’s a great series going on in South Beach as the Marlins continue their dominance of the American League. After embarrassing the Yankees, the Astros came to town to take their beating. Miami took the first game of the series last night 5-1. Today Johnny Cueto is on the bump facing Cristian Javier. Cueto is making his fifth start for the Marlins, and he has been a great addition since returning from injury. Miami is hanging onto the final National League Wild Card slot, but given the way they are playing, they are sure to be around when the playoffs begins. They have been a fun team to watch all season and could be the next surprise NL East team to win the pennant. Houston will be happy to have Christian Javier on the mound, as he seems to have found his game after more than a few rough outings. Javier has allowed three runs or less in his last five starts. This should be a low-scoring affair, and the winner will likely be whoever scores first. Miami (+105) Under 9 (-110) Yankees @ Braves While the Marlins are effortlessly handling AL teams, the Braves are doing the same with New York squads. After a torrential series with the Mets, Atlanta took the first game of their series with the Yankees 11-3. The Braves remain an unstoppable force, and they have to like their chances today with Bryce Elder receiving the call. Elder has allowed five runs in back-to-back starts, and while no one is happy about that, based on the ups and downs we have seen from him this season, there is zero reason for concern. Three consecutive poor appearances from the righty is extremely unlikely. I usually bet on trends to continue, but based on the season’s data, bettors can feel comfortable relying on Elder today. Bryce Elder Under 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+100) The Yankees are quickly falling to Angels territory, too far back in the standings to matter. New York has played well at points this season, but a .500 record won’t book you a ticket to the postseason — especially in the AL East. Aaron Boone is certainly on the hot seat, and it will be fun to see what Cashman does this offseason. Atlanta -2.5 (+134)  

MLB PrizePicks – Olson, Endy, Glasnow, and Darvish

Matt Olson Over 1.5 Total Bases Matt Olson has recorded a hit in 17 of his last 19 games and has 26 total hits in that stretch. He’s quite possibly the hottest hitter in baseball, leading the league in home runs. The Braves just stream rolled the Mets, taking three of four games, outscoring them 40-10. This team is on a roll, and now they welcome the Yankees to the A. We should see a similar storyline in this series, so grab Braves hitters and pitchers for some easy money. Endy Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs Everybody is running over the Mets right now, and today it’s the Pirate’s turn. New York is trying to forget their series with the Braves, but Pittsburgh will bring some trouble to town. Endy is hot and should have no problem landing a run or an RBI on a hit. This number is incredibly low, and considering how easy the Mets are to score on, this should be an easy bet. Tyler Glasnow Over 7.5 Strikeouts Tyler Glasnow has been an untouchable force in the second half of this season. He’s allowed ten total runs over his last seven starts, and his strikeout numbers have been even more impressive. Glasnow has retired 8+ batters on strikes in six of his last seven starts; in the one game, he failed to reach eight, he stuck out 7. What really brings this pick home is the team he’s pitching against. The Giants rank in the top five this season for strikeouts — 9.42 a game. Glasnow should be cashing all his props tonight. Yu Darvish Under 6 Strikeouts Bit of a dicey move here, but bettors should stick with the trend of fading Darvish’s K prop. The under has cashed in three of his last four starts. In his previous game, he only managed four strikeouts in six innings against the Mariners, who rank 29th in Ks — only the Twins strikeout more. Today, he faces a Baltimore squad that has been solid at avoiding Ks for most of the season, but they have been in a bit of a slump. The Orioles are averaging 9.2 Ks a game over their last five games but are averaging 8.36 over the full season. This play could turn ugly, but the under remains the smart move.

MLB Best Bets: Late Night Action – Angles & Rangers

Giants @ Angles The Angel’s struggles continued as they lost their seventh straight game thanks to a six-run ninth inning. Los Angeles took a 3-2 lead into the ninth inning but fell apart and ultimately lost the game 8-3. The Angels will try to take a break from losing tonight in game two of this series. It will be an interesting one as they face opener Scott Alexander. Alexander has made a few starts this season, but he has never pitched more than an inning and a third. He’s a strong performer, but seeing if Gabe Kapler stretches him out will be interesting. Pitching for Anaheim will be Lucas Giolito; he is making his first start since being roughed up by the Braves. Down in Atlanta, Giolito allowed nine runs in less than three innings. While that isn’t the first time this season he’s had a start like that, things should be easier against the Giants. Lucas Giolito: Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+100) Lucas Giolito: Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (+108) This losing streak must end soon, or the Angels playoff chances will be over. Look for a strong showing tonight as they put things back on track. Anaheim (-115) Rangers @ Oakland The Rangers have been doing as much winning as the Angles have losing. They enter the game on a seven-game winning streak, and they are in Oakland playing a team they have dominated this season. Texas is 6-1 against the A’s this season, and there is no reason to think they won’t be 9-1 by the time this series is over. Pitching for the Rangers is Max Scherzer, who is making his second start for Texas. He had a strong showing against the White Sox and will be dealing tonight against the A’s. Starting for Oakland is JP Sears. Sears has played well against the Rangers this season but has not kept his club from losing. Even when he does his best work, the bullpen has been fantastic at blowing leads. JP Sears: Over 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-115) Texas -2.5 (-112)  

MLB Best Bets – NL West: Padres & Giants

Dodgers @ Padres The Monday slate kicks off with a rubber match between the Dodgers and Padres. The Padres are desperately trying to make a move to put themselves back into playoff contention, but their rivals to the north will try to give them one more mark for the L column. Helping them in that mission will be the ever-inconsistent Tony Gonsolin. He continues to show flashes of 2022, but he can’t pull things together on a regular basis. Last time out, he allowed one run in five innings of work against Oakland, but he allowed 4+ runs in the two starts prior. The Padres have put up 35 runs over five games, so it will likely be a rough day for Gonsolin. Tony Gonsolin: Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (+105) Starting for the Padres will be Seth Lugo. Lugo has been incredible and should have plenty to contribute to this playoff push. Lugo has allowed two runs or less in six of his last ten starts. He’s performed well against teams that will be playing in October, so there is no reason to think he won’t handle himself today. Seth Lugo: Under 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+105) San Diego (-120) Giants @ Angels Ninety miles north on The Five, the Giants open a series with the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim. The Angles are in a similar position as the Padres, while San Francisco is pushing for their first division title since 2012. They are three games behind the Dodgers, so if they can take care of business tonight, they can cut the deficit to two. San Francisco is in a great spot to kick this series off with Logan Webb on the bump; he has been resuloute in this rotation. Webb has posted a 3.45 ERA through 23 starts. Facing the Angels, he’s in a strong position to lower that number in this one. Logan Webb: Over 18.5 Outs Recorded (+105) Webb should be the difference maker in this one. Sandoval certainly won’t embarrass himself, but he won’t be able to keep pace. San Francisco: (-120)

MLB PrizePicks – Hendricks, Fried, and Tucker

Kyle Hendrick Under 3.5 Strikeouts Kyle Hendricks has a tall order today, as he faces Max Fried and the Atlanta Braves. Hendricks is having a solid season, a 3.49 ERA over 13 starts. However, he’s bound to find himself in trouble early against this high-power Atlanta offense. Hendricks is not one to sit down many batters on strikes, and Atlanta hasn’t been sitting down too much. While Hendricks typically struggles to hit 4+ Ks in a game, he likely won’t see the innings necessary to take care of that many Atlanta batters. Max Fried Over 5 Strikeouts PrizePicks has given us a real treat, with Max Fried making his first start returning from injury. He will likely be on a short leash today, but he faces a Chicago team that ranks in the top ten for strikeouts. So Fried will only need to pitch four innings to hit this number. That prop will skyrocket within the next couple of weeks, so grab it now. Kyle Tucker Over 1.5 Total Bases Kyle Tucker is one of the most consistent hitters in baseball, and he enters play today on a five-game hit streak. While he’ll want to keep that alive today, he has the added incentive that a strong day at the plate would bring his batting average up over .300. He’s enjoying his time in Yankee Stadium, as he has taken full advantage of the short porch in left field, don’t be surprised to see him put one over there tonight to keep the streak alive and cash this bet. Bonus Play: Robbie Grossman Under 0.5 Total Bases It’s hard watching the Rangers continue to play Robbie Grossman. He’ll enter play today with a .224 batting average and seven home runs. He had just nine hits over the last month, and fadin him night in and night out continues to remain profitable.