Australian Open Best Bets – 1/24/22

Shelton vs Paul

Tommy Paul is (+3000) to win the Australian Open. Mandatory Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports

A couple of Americans are meeting in the quarter-final. Both had interesting paths to this point in the Open.

Tommy Paul has severed several upsets to make it to this point. He probably should have had a second-round exit but upset Alejandro Davidovich Fokina instead. Then, he defeated Jenson Brooksby in straight sets in the third round and dealt another upset to Roberto Bautista Agut to book his ticket to the quarter-finals.

Conversely, Ben Shelton has stumbled his way here. He has not taken on anyone of note, as he has received the runoff of upsets. Shelton had by far the easiest path to the quarters. Playing the likes of JJ Wolf and Alexei Popyrin instead of Taylor Fritz or Diego Schwartzman.

Ben Shelton is just 20 years old, so he certainly has a bright future, but Ben Shelton will show him what real Grand Slam competition looks like.

Tommy Paul 3-0 (+200)
Game Spread: Tommy Paul -4.5 (-114)
Under 39.5 Games (-110)

Djokovic vs Rublev

Novak Djokovic is now (-250) to win the Open. Mandatory Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports

Novak Djokovic will finally have some competition in the quarter-final of the Australian Open.

Djokovic has only dropped one set through four matches. He has trotted through this tournament, and while Rublev will give him a competitive match, Djokovic will still pick up the win.

These two have played three times before, but never in a Grand Slam. Djokovic’s two wins came in straight sets on hard court. The one match Rublev won was on clay.

Rublev has had a great run to this point; his last match was an epic, ending in a 20-point tie-break. After playing fifty games and that insane tiebreaker, Rublev will not have the juice to compete against Djokovic. He’ll take the match in straight sets.

Novak Djokovic 3-0 (-105)
Game Spread: Novak Djokovic 6.5 (-128)
Over 34.5 Games (-116)

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