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AP’S NBA BETS BLOG 12/26 – 12/27

This season I’ll be posting my NBA Bets write up in a Blog type of format. When a play gets added I’ll send an alert in discord. I just want to be able to provide some context to my posted plays – this format will allow me to get plays up fast so we can get in before big line movements.

20’21’ RECORD: 8-2, +6.78 Units

 

SPURS VS PELICANS (12/27) – UNDER 228, 1 UNIT 

I still think this number reflects the Pace the Pelicans played at all last season. As I stated in an earlier post, this is a spot I want to get in on the Under if the number is right. I actually think we could see a sloppy game here tonight & see many scenarios where we fall well under this number. 

POSTED 12/27 4:52 EST. 

76ERS VS CAVALIERS (12/27) – UNDER 217, 1 UNIT 

Philly is playing at a snails pace & they are playing really good defense. Cav’s are coming off a double OT game & will find themselves in a brutal matchup here against the 76ers. I think this one gets ugly. 

POSTED 12/27 4:52 EST. 

 

HAWKS VS GRIZZLIES (12/26) – HAWKS +1, 1 UNIT

Hawks are coming off a blowout win over the Bulls. This Hawks unit comprised of Trae Young, Danilo Gallinari, Bogdan Bogdanovic, John Collins… Hunter.. Redddish, etc.. is a group I am bullish on heading into the season. Despite being on the road, which I personally don’t think is much of a factor this season with no fans, they are underdogs when they should be slight favorites. I think we get some nice value getting one point in this matchup.

Update- Danilo Gallinari is doubtful for the game. That is definitely a slight hit to the Hawks side here. 

POSTED 12/25 9:44EST 

THUNDER VS HORNETS (12/26) – THUNDER +3, 1 UNIT

We have yet to see this Thunder group play as their opener against Houston was postponed due to COVID issues. In my opinion, this line over values a Hornets squad coming off a win against a really bad Cavs team. I’m for sure under on this Hornets team, despite picking up Gordon Hayward, who I think they overpaid for… I think OKC keeps this one close and potentially comes away with the win.

POSTED 12/25 9:44EST

SUNS VS KINGS (12/26) – OVER 227, 1 UNIT 

I’ve been watching this line since yesterday and it just has not moved. I’ve loved the overs this whole time. Going with the gut on this play. Fox loves to push the pace & I think we see Dev get loose a bit tonight. LETS GO! 

POSTED 12/26 7:38EST 

<BLOG Style format – More plays to be posted> 

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