49ERS AT JAGUARS, NFL WEEK 11

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SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS -6.5 @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 45.5

 

DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE

49ERS VS PASS 20 // VS RUSH 5 // PASS 5 // RUSH 7 // OVERALL 7

JAGUARS VS PASS 31 // VS RUSH 7 // PASS 28 // RUSH 2 // OVERALL 28

SOURCE: footballoutsiders.com

 

MATCHUP SUMMARY

This is another classic let-down spot for the 49ers coming off a 21 point drubbing of the Rams at home on Monday Night Football. Eli Mitchell hasn’t practiced all week and could set up a volume spot for the backup Jeff Wilson at 5100. The Jaguars have been pretty good versus the run this season but I like the volume and the price on both Mitchell if he plays and Wilson. I have no interest in Garoppolo in this spot. George Kittle is my only real interest on this team at 6300. He has 15 targets and 151 yds in his last 2 games.

For the Jaguars, James Robinson could miss or be limited in this game with injuries. If he were to miss that would up the snaps for Carlos Hyde (4400). The only pass catcher I have interest in for the Jags is Dan Arnold at 4100. He has emerged as the de facto WR1 with 24 targets over his last 3 weeks. I don’t hate the JAX DST in this spot at only 2300.

THE DFS GEMS

George Kittle, SF  – $6,300 on DraftKings. 15 targets over his last 2 weeks.

Dan Arnold, JAX – $4,100 on Draftkings. Massive target share. Still too cheap.

Jaguars DST – $2,300 on Draftkings. Letdown Spot for 49ers traveling east on a short week.

Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS

Article produced by garyuscg14  


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