Best Bets for the 2022 NFL Draft
The NFL Draft has reached the peak of primetime popularity. Years ago, the NFL Draft was simply an event in which a team attempted to gradually improve their squad with some high-potential rookies. But since 2017, the focus has shifted for the event as sportsbooks began to allow betting on the NFL Draft and bettors have never looked back. Bookmakers have essentially came out and claimed that the NFL Draft is so hard to handicap because it is all news-based and if they are staying up with the news, sharp bettors can take advantage. And that is what we will be looking to do here with our 2022 NFL Draft Betting Guide – take advantage…so let’s get into it.
Aidan Hutchinson to Jags (+275), Kayvon Thibodeaux to Lions (+350) on DraftKings Sportsbook
So out of nowhere this week, Georgia’s Travon Walker jumped up to the highest odds (-155) to get selected first overall to the Jaguars. But I just have a feeling that this isn’t what it seems as Michigan’s Aidan Hutchinson has been at the top of the board for months. If you go over to the “Exact Draft Order” tab on DraftKings, they have Hutchinson, Thibodeaux at +300 to go 1st and 2nd. But, that’s almost the same odds of Hutchinson going 1st overall – that screams value to me to betting these two separately. The fight in the Jacksonville board room comes between Jags GM Trent Baalke’s want of Walker and Jags Owner Shahid Khan’s interest in Hutchinson – something tells me Khan’s word goes farther than a general manager who just walked into the building in 2021. After that, the Lions have made it known they prefer Thibodeaux over Walker if Hutchinson isn’t on the board. We are hoping that exact scenario goes down!
Total SEC Players Drafted in the 1st Round – Under 10.5 Players (+105) on DraftKings Sportsbook
This one is going to be TIGHT – I think there is a possibility of 13 SEC players that could go on Thursday night as Roger Goddell is calling names. The SEC typically has the most players draft overall every year and that typically translates to the 1st round having the most players drafted from the SEC as well. So let’s look at it — Travon Walker (UGA), Charles Cross (Miss. St.), Evan Neal (Alabama), Derek Stingley (LSU), Jameson Williams (Alabama) are absolute locks. I am pretty sure at this point that Jordan Davis (UGA), Kaiir Elam (Florida), Treylon Burks (Arkansas) and Kenyon Green (Texas A&M) will join them in being likely to be picked. That gets us to 9 SEC players and then we pray that only one remaining Georgia players in Devonte Wyatt, George Pickens, Nakobe Dean and Lewis Cine get selected at the end of Round 1. I think the value is good on this one.
Clemson CB Andrew Booth Jr. Draft Position – Under 29.5 (+145) on Draftkings Sportsbook
On most experts’ big boards, Booth Jr. finds himself as either the 3rd or 4th highest-rated cornerback in the class. Then couple that with the fact that Pro Football Focus has cornerback as an immediate need for 15 NFL teams in this pass-happy league nowadays. 12 of those teams that have CB as an immediate need pick in the top 28 on Thursday. I see the Vikings, Patriots, Cardinals, Bills all being potential landing spots for him in the early 20s.
New York Giants – Position of Exact Player Drafted – Offensive Lineman (-130) on DraftKings Sportsbook
The value has dwindled on the odds of the Giants taking one of the premier positions of this draft. Offensive lineman are heavily sought after in this 1st round, especially the top of the board including Alabama’s Evan Neal, NC State’s Ikem Ekwonu and Mississippi State’s Charles Cross. I believe the Jaguars, Lions, Texans and Jets focus on other positions – it’s a high need for Houston & New York, but I believe at most, only one of those 3 get selected. The Giants current line can’t block to save a life, they need lineman – and with the Panthers & other teams lurking that want a piece of the OL trio, I think they will call the name of one of these guys to protect Danny Dimes.
Total 1st Round Total of WRs Drafted – Under 6.5 (-120) on DraftKings Sportsbook
The WR class for 2022 is very good and super deep. But we have also had some very good classes over the past year and never cracked over 6 wide receivers. Look at the totals since 2016:
The Jets, Eagles, Saints, Chiefs, and Packers all have critical needs at wide receiver and two first-round picks. Let’s say they all have a guy they like on the board for one of their picks – that still leaves 2 more WRs to be picked to hit the over. Every year, more and more WRs get hyped up and end up sliding in the NFL Draft. Look at how hyped D.K. Metcalf was and he still ended up falling to the 2nd Round. I think history repeats itself and less than 7 WRs get picked in the 1st Round. BOOK IT!
Best of luck on all your bets for the NFL Draft! I hope your teams make the best decisions and you don’t find them at the top of the draft in 2023. Enjoy the 1st Round on Thursday!